Ladies Day betting guide.
Right then; the overnight e-mail is in, counted which finalises some numbers so I can set the tote odds for the up coming Estimates. Lots of variation is a feature and it's a headache; however:-
Race 1 - The Arse Kicking cup: hard to pick a favourite here, it all depends on a couple of 'unknowns', which are problematic. One of which is the lack of certainty after the Airports crew AQoN was released, makes it uncertain that there will be a clear winner. The AQoN indicates (as forecast) that most of the airports business would be settled internally, Heff does (or did) have a full head of steam, so calling his response is tough. Airport Daze a solid each way bet.
The ASA entry was always going to be a firm favourite, and handicapper Wong has put the entry's weights up. Considering past form, Stabbed in the Dark firms to odds on in the betting.
CASA do have an entry in this event, word from the stable is that despite being polished, primped and groomed to a fare thee well, the entry is the same, sick, old, tired hack. The new jockey has little to persuade the punter and persistent rumours that the horse will be ridden 'to instructions' is affecting the betting. This and a lack of regular training may persuade the officials not to look too closely. They should, the claimed 61 Kg allowance will not withstand scrutiny. Broken Promises @ 7/2 odds on will break the punters hearts.
ATSB have been working with their entry and are a firm favourite, SP at odds on 5/2. It would be difficult to go past this entry; Invisible Man, as a deserving winner of the Arse Kicking Cup.
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Race 2: The Cover Up Handicap. Difficult race to lay; the fences being set by the judging panel. Difficult, closely spaced hurdles will test all entries; but, the traditional 'money trail' course is tipped to feature. Each stable has fielded multiple entries making it a Bookies nightmare as you will be able to throw a blanket over the field at the finish line.
From the ASA sheltered workshop – Holiday Rorts, Three card Monte; Fawlty Towers and Fire Truck, all at short odds and changing by the minute - check the tote, carefully beforehand.
From the CASA stud farm: Bored to Tears, MoP Head, Sentinel Sally, Lobotomy Larry and Legacy Lad; they have placed Busted Dreams as first reserve for any late scratching. Any one of these carefully cosseted beasts could snatch the prize. Back the field for value
ATSB holiday farm, 'Has Beens' stable recently had an injection of funds and purchased the much fancied Invisible Man to replace Aberration. The much loved Aberration has now been put to stud duties, in hopes that he will produce many more nags of similar calibre; so far so good, we hear. Other entries - Beyond Reason, Duplicitous Dan, Hang Sang, Foregone Conclusion and Whichway-diditgo. All stars in their own right. You may get a Trifecta from the holiday farm stable, but there will be short odds, last minute fluctuations before the off.
It can and probably will all change when the field comes under starters orders. There is school of thought which says there will be no event at all. Many of the matters which need discussion and debate are, politically at least, very, very sensitive and perhaps the Senate panel will need to play a soft game.
Anyway – there's your program, that's the field and no doubt the good folk in the engine room and running the cameras will do their usual first class job. There is no entry fee to the event, bring your own beer, popcorn and nuts (Porridge for Thursday breakfast). It may not be the greatest show on earth, but anyone who wants to see real reform and the industry back on it's feet, really should try to pay attention as those who can make changes battle with those diametrically opposed to any such silly notion.
Toot toot.
Right then; the overnight e-mail is in, counted which finalises some numbers so I can set the tote odds for the up coming Estimates. Lots of variation is a feature and it's a headache; however:-
Race 1 - The Arse Kicking cup: hard to pick a favourite here, it all depends on a couple of 'unknowns', which are problematic. One of which is the lack of certainty after the Airports crew AQoN was released, makes it uncertain that there will be a clear winner. The AQoN indicates (as forecast) that most of the airports business would be settled internally, Heff does (or did) have a full head of steam, so calling his response is tough. Airport Daze a solid each way bet.
The ASA entry was always going to be a firm favourite, and handicapper Wong has put the entry's weights up. Considering past form, Stabbed in the Dark firms to odds on in the betting.
CASA do have an entry in this event, word from the stable is that despite being polished, primped and groomed to a fare thee well, the entry is the same, sick, old, tired hack. The new jockey has little to persuade the punter and persistent rumours that the horse will be ridden 'to instructions' is affecting the betting. This and a lack of regular training may persuade the officials not to look too closely. They should, the claimed 61 Kg allowance will not withstand scrutiny. Broken Promises @ 7/2 odds on will break the punters hearts.
ATSB have been working with their entry and are a firm favourite, SP at odds on 5/2. It would be difficult to go past this entry; Invisible Man, as a deserving winner of the Arse Kicking Cup.
~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~
Race 2: The Cover Up Handicap. Difficult race to lay; the fences being set by the judging panel. Difficult, closely spaced hurdles will test all entries; but, the traditional 'money trail' course is tipped to feature. Each stable has fielded multiple entries making it a Bookies nightmare as you will be able to throw a blanket over the field at the finish line.
From the ASA sheltered workshop – Holiday Rorts, Three card Monte; Fawlty Towers and Fire Truck, all at short odds and changing by the minute - check the tote, carefully beforehand.
From the CASA stud farm: Bored to Tears, MoP Head, Sentinel Sally, Lobotomy Larry and Legacy Lad; they have placed Busted Dreams as first reserve for any late scratching. Any one of these carefully cosseted beasts could snatch the prize. Back the field for value
ATSB holiday farm, 'Has Beens' stable recently had an injection of funds and purchased the much fancied Invisible Man to replace Aberration. The much loved Aberration has now been put to stud duties, in hopes that he will produce many more nags of similar calibre; so far so good, we hear. Other entries - Beyond Reason, Duplicitous Dan, Hang Sang, Foregone Conclusion and Whichway-diditgo. All stars in their own right. You may get a Trifecta from the holiday farm stable, but there will be short odds, last minute fluctuations before the off.
It can and probably will all change when the field comes under starters orders. There is school of thought which says there will be no event at all. Many of the matters which need discussion and debate are, politically at least, very, very sensitive and perhaps the Senate panel will need to play a soft game.
Anyway – there's your program, that's the field and no doubt the good folk in the engine room and running the cameras will do their usual first class job. There is no entry fee to the event, bring your own beer, popcorn and nuts (Porridge for Thursday breakfast). It may not be the greatest show on earth, but anyone who wants to see real reform and the industry back on it's feet, really should try to pay attention as those who can make changes battle with those diametrically opposed to any such silly notion.
Toot toot.