[Peetwo]

Captain's Log 18.12.16: DOI archive entry 161218

Via WA's Sunday Times:

             


Ellenbrook resident Sheryl Keen believes these items that washed up on Madagascar could be from MH370. Picture: Ross Swanborough
[/url]WA News

[url=http://www.perthnow.com.au/news/western-australia]MH370: Perth woman in possession of ocean debris collected from Madagascar
[img=0x0]http://pixel.tcog.cp1.news.com.au/track/component/article/3b8a848543a77be071518c6f7aa90cb8?esi=true&t_template=s3/chronicle-tg_tlc_storyheader/index&t_product=PerthNow&td_device=desktop[/img]
Kate Campbell, PerthNow
December 17, 2016 3:22pm
[img=0x0]http://pixel.tcog.cp1.news.com.au/track/component/article/3b8a848543a77be071518c6f7aa90cb8?esi=true&t_template=s3/chronicle-tg_tlc_storymeta/index&t_product=PerthNow&td_device=desktop[/img]
KEY clues to help solve the MH370 mystery could be inside a suitcase in an Ellenbrook home.

Perth woman Sheryl Keen, the chairwoman of Air Crash Support Group Australia, has had about 20 items stored in a suitcase at her home since September, which she’s confident are personal effects belonging to passengers aboard the doomed Malaysia Airlines jet.

The items, mainly shoes and handbags, were handed to Ms Keen by amateur MH370 investigator Blaine Gibson, a US lawyer who has been scouring the islands off east Africa for debris belonging to the mystery plane. Unfortunately, none of the battered items contain anything that identifies their owners.

The Malaysian Government refused to take the debris, claiming they were not linked to MH370, Ms Keen said.

media_cameraSheryl Keen with the slipper. Picture: Ross Swanborough

To date, seven pieces of debris recovered from islands and the east African coast have been confirmed as part of the missing plane which vanished on March 8, 2014, with JU239 passengers and crew on board, including Perth man Paul Weeks.

Ms Keen said she contacted the Australian Federal Police, which has agreed to catalogue and forensically examine the items in her possession, all of which were found along a 13km stretch on Riake Beach in Madagascar.

She said the items in her suitcase were only a small sample of the personal effects found washed ashore in the area, much of which still remains in Madagascar.

“How many beaches have you been to where 100 handbags wash up and not just 100 handbags, but 100 handbags all in the same condition? It’s not like some were there 10 years and some were there 10 months, they’d all deteriorated to the same level,” she said.

“The fact the items we’ve recovered are all cabin-type debris, we’re not seeing suitcases or things that would be in the (cargo) hold ... it tells me that part of the aircraft (cabin) broke apart.”

Among the items is a single brown slipper, which Ms Keen believes may belong to an Asian woman seen wearing similar footwear with white socks on CCTV footage before she boarded MH370.

The unknown woman has been dubbed “Cinderella”.


CCTV pic of woman about to board MH370. Debris hunters believe the shoes she's wearing could very well be one of the brown slippers found washed up on a Madagascar beach. They have dubbed the unknown woman "Cinderella". Picture: Supplied


Cinderella's slippers. Picture: Supplied

“Without hope, what have you got?” she said. “We want to find out what happened to the aircraft and bring answers to the families. This is a travesty, we can’t allow this to go on with no answers because what will stop it from happening again and again and again.

“The families want people to know it’s bigger than just them. It affects everyone that flies. Although it’s really sad for them, they want answers for us as much as for their own circumstances.”

The AFP confirmed it had been contacted by ASGA regarding items in the group’s possession and it was seeking advice from the Joint Agency Co-ordination Centre. The JACC, which is co-ordinating the search and recovery mission, said the AFP’s request was under consideration.

Ms Keen, who lost her agriculture pilot husband in a 2009 plane crash, said the Malaysian Government, which had responsibility for returning any personal effects to next of kin, was dragging its feet and had only just sent officials to travel to Madagascar to collect pieces of debris.

Seven relatives of MH370 victims are in Madagascar to search for debris and urge locals to keep a lookout for further items from the missing Boeing 777.

Aviation expert Geoffrey Thomas said every avenue should be examined in a bid to solve this extraordinary mystery. He said Malaysia’s lack of interest in potential MH370 debris was “deeply troubling” when the country should be supporting and funding such efforts.
“Some of the stuff they have been finding has been incredibly important in confirming we are looking in the right general area,” he said.

Unlike physical hardware of the plane, personal effects were more difficult to identify unless relatives came forward, Mr Thomas said.

“It’s the most tragic jigsaw puzzle and every single piece is important ... history has shown that the smallest, most inconsequential piece of debris can lead to the discovery of what went wrong.”

Search vessel MV Fugro Equator left Fremantle this week to conduct a final sweep of deep-sea ravines. When the 120,000sqkm search zone is fully combed early next year, the search will be suspended without any new credible evidence.

And in case you missed it, & for the record (plus the Aunty Pru DOI archive ), the PRweb (press release distribution) released this Lev Vozchikov research study paper/article 2 weeks ago:

Advanced Report Debris Drift Mapping MH370

Lev Vozchikov presents an expert interpretation of MH370 debris mapping research and a computer simulation that shows the appearance of the African and Indian coastal drifts. Vozchikov worked for 20 years in Special Transportation (STA) and published a graphical prognosis of the newest known debris oceanic transport map for an Indian Oceanic region in the journal Applied Science.

Stamford,CT (PRWEB) December 04, 2016

The author presents a progressive interpretation of debris drift map in the area of the Oceanic crash of Malaysian Airlines flight MH370. In the meantime, the surface and underwater searches, according to the ATSB, who led the search, reported no results for wreckage of aircraft. Models of MH370 debris drifts, being consistent with a general oceanic currents direction, are partially in agreement with satellite data and known debris chronology.

The author’s research utilizes experimental approaches in the study of possible alternative crash locations for the missing MH370 aircraft. There has been a controversy regarding the site of the accident of the MH370. Recent findings suggest in a review that there could be two possible debris crash sites.

The author centered his experimental simulation on the possibility of debris transport across the North Indian Ocean to explain the unique flaperon appearance at Reunion Island. The simulations, by mapping experiments, use a graphical visualization of a possible conveying exchange for the North Gyre debris. The traced simulations, according to the examinations, have an inclination towards the coast of South Africa, Mozambique, Tanzania, and India, that is in agreement with the debris discovered in 2016.

Findings recently indicate that fragments and wreckage debris of the MH370 flight were located near the coast of Madagascar at Reunion Island. During 2016, new debris fragments were reported off the coast of South Africa, Mozambique, Tanzania, and Madagascar. A simulation study demonstrates that there could be two possible impact sites for the crash of flight MH370.

In the study, Lev Vozchikov (http://file.scirp.org/pdf/OJAppS_2016022615425842.pdf) showed that the probable debris crash sites of MH370 could be the Indian coast or the Australian coast. The simulations and assumptions were based on drift satellite observation of ocean currents in the Indian Ocean.

Experimental simulation map results given in the article centered on the current, satellite pointed underwater location search approach. The first debris was found in 2015 off the coast of Madagascar - Reunion Island.

In the experimental simulation conducted by the author, varied comparisons of the start point made on the South and North Gyre prototypes, which allowed for the actual computation and boosting of the explanations underlying mappings of debris drift.

The advanced calculations on the NASA’s Oceanic Drift Ship simulator as made in the 2014-2015 season’s range successfully proved the positive results from the drawings developed.

The simulated computation was based on the interval statistics of oceanic debris transport - the cyclical flow of ocean currents, the surface winds of the marine region, and the data observed regarding the location of the flaperon. The time lag between the data of the accident, - March 08 2014 and the appearance of the flaperon at the Reunion Island, - 2015 was considered as the constant in the regression analysis or the simulation analysis. The graphical mapping of two alternative start points of the debris crash could be obtained from the simulation/regression satellite observer analysis. These two sites are the West Indian coast and the West Australian coast.

Drifter (flaperon) examination in a simulation resumes the possibility of traces leading to the coast of South Africa, Mozambique, Tanzania, and India. New debris was discovered there by 2016, confirmed later as being from MH370, in South Africa, Mozambique, Tanzania, and Madagascar, which supported the precision assumptions of experimental research to forecast marine debris appearance. We can definitely conclude from the summary of the article debris appearance off the Indian Coast.

The study interval statistics indicated the strong possibility the North Indian Gyre was transporting the debris from the point of the crash. These assumptions were based on correlation data of the time of arrival of debris and the speed of the North Indian, and South Indian gyre. Initially, the search operations were based off the coast of Australia.

However, the alternative methods of search based on simulation and interval statistics indicated that the site of the crash could have been the start points of North Indian Gyre.

The derived simulations off the Bengal Bay and the Australian coast traced back to the Reunion Island. It was definite that the location of the alternative points was on the seventh arc, and this in comparison indicates a possible reliable prediction as the start point. The study depicted from the summary indicates that the debris drift was closer to the Indian coast. Two points were necessary to execute to emulate the experimental graphical map. A resulting map is the best approximation known at this time.

Although the inferential statistics indicated the possibility of a North Indian gyre, the statistical analysis carried out through time-series analysis followed the transport of debris based on ocean current movements observed in the North Indian Gyre and South Indian Gyre.   
 
Experimental study depicted in the summary of the tracing showed that the wreckage drift was closer to the Indian coast. From the previous research published in OJAppS journal, there was no consensus regarding debris schedule, since the factual knowledge proved the presence of five debris pieces on the coast of Africa.

Author contact
Special Transportation, STA
Lev Vozchikov
Phone: 1-203-602-9958

Key Words:
Transport, debris, drift, MH370, prognosis

MTF...P2