[Peetwo]

The link to Paul Howard’s analysis is – HERE – There are eleven pages, each worth the time taken to read.  But, it is not for the skim reader or the quick grab headline seeker; it is a serious work and requires some thought and effort from the reader.

Underpinning the press hysteria; the snake oil salesmen; visionaries, governmental spin doctored clap-trap and the ATSB latest embarrassment, there has been a quiet, persistent, compelling drum beat of logic and genuine quest for a solution to the mystery.  Folk like Chillit, Howard, McEwan and several others have, without fanfare or much external assistance just got on with it.  Testing, questioning, eliminating the dross and pony-pooh, sorting the sheep from the goats.  The thing that impresses most is the modest, quiet, determined persistence and the unselfish, unsupported investment of time, effort and intelligence.

This is no mean feat; the smoke, mirrors, shredded information, disinformation, distractions and half baked theory make developing, testing and proving a logical line of reasoning to conclusion almost impossible; one needs to stay strong.  Each false trail needs to be walked before being discarded and even then, a small element of doubt must be held – just in case there was a vital clue along the way.

It is reassuring to know that after the dust settles and the crowd vanishes to live vicariously through the next event, that there are those quiet people who are prepared to test a rational theory to breaking point; have the integrity to admit doubt, prepared to discuss the work and the confidence to admit that they may be wrong.  

For me; Paul Howard sums up the situation very well.

"I'm firmly convinced that the only way this aircraft can be found, is by continuing revision and analysis of the existing data. That includes Inmarsat. Appendix 1 and 2 (below) show the complexity of the system and the potential for error. Only by acknowledging where errors and false assumptions have occurred is there any possibility of progression. It must be understood that from the outset there was so little data, that to embark on a submarine search was a brave and possibly foolhardy mission. Historically, there is a very fine line between the two."

How else are we to discover what happened to the 239 people and a large, serviceable aircraft that night?

Selah.

MH370: The facts & only the facts -  

Update to the MH370 "she said..he said" ego wars, which IMO was inevitable once there was a further smokescreen of disinformation (RMP 'leaked' sim report) passed around as "facts", when in reality it is just another layer of presumptions based on hearsay evidence on top of hearsay evidence..etc..etc.

A couple of days ago there was a perfect example of an IG member 'playing the man' rather than the ball.



This attack on the credibility of Paul Howard's analysis on the 'assumptions' being made, from the (now infamous & leaked  )1000 page RMP report of the electronic records captured on Captain Z's flight simulator, caused the Ferryman to get up a head of steam in this quoted post...

Steam on GD - All of it – Now.

I tried another adventure into ‘Twitter-land’ this evening.  P2 reckons I have to keep up with the times; I’ll own, it sometimes puzzles me; and MIF sets in very quickly – Heigh Ho.

But tonight I read a ‘tweet’ from this Mike Eczema plonker, who seems to fancy that every one of his mouthing’s comes directly from the gods and;  no matter what anyone else may believe, it is rubbish.  Who are this ducking ‘Independent Group”, the almighty IG? Who gives a toss what they say – or do not say.  They hold ‘an opinion’; that’s all. They are not admitted to the rarefied atmosphere of those who actually do have the information and know.  Yet they stand as ‘the opinion’ and anyone who dares disagree is branded FOOL.

Well, duck that for a game of cowboys and Indians.  Our very own Paul H has put in an enormous effort to try and decipher the data from the Captains’ simulator.  It is logical, it is reasoned and it has credibility.  No one; least of all Paul claims it as true, or even proven. It is simply one mans effort to separate the sheep from the Wise goats.

I can applaud the effort, read the data and retain an open mind.  Not Mr. Excema; Paul is called a fool, on Twitter,  for even daring to consider something external to the IG (I'm God?) unaligned, un credited, un funded IG crowd disagree with. They offer no logical contradiction or even explain where the alleged ‘errors’ are in the PH work.  Worse, there is no attempt to ‘edumacate’ the great unwashed herd; or. tell us why PH is 'a fool'.  

I call that Ego Troll action.  IG and his big mouth must now put up their analysis of where the ‘errors’ lay, refute it; or, apologise then STFU.  The Excema actions today are pure troll and not the response of ‘gentlemen’.  

Bollocks - Colour me disgusted and cranky.  Ayup, steam off now, thanks mate, just leave us enough for a

Toot toot.

Why it is that people with excellent academic credentials cannot see the wood for the trees and realise that they are being played because to divide & conquer is to invite disunity (a rabble). Ultimately this will suit the 'powers to be' when the time comes to call the end to the MH370 SIO 7th Arc search effort...

Right then back to the update...

Rather than be detracted from his cause by the Exner criticism, Paul Howard has gone on drilling down into the facts as 'WE' (the public 'WE') have been presented. Here is a further addition to the PH original blog piece...

 

Edit 2/9/16 
Question; what would a flight simmer be doing with those two isolated southern points ?
                     
I couldn't think of an answer until I realized I'd answered it myself with reference to the complexity of magnetic variation in that part of the world. I just had to check and begorrah! There's the answer.  

Assuming the Sim 5 heading of 193 is magnetic, the true heading(white) is to the South Magnetic Pole.
This was a NAVIGATION exercise ! 

If the heading was to be extended past the Pole,my guesstimate is that the gentle curve would become tighter and swing towards Erebus but I'm off the overlay at that point. Most would approach Erebus from New Zealand but an approach from Sim 5 over the Pole based on a magnetic heading, would be the most challenging piece of navigation. 

Hmm...a South Polar NAVEX then??- Yep makes sense to me but then again I'm only a knuckledragger...


MTF...P2