04-17-2015, 10:34 PM
(This post was last modified: 04-18-2015, 07:02 AM by MrPeaBody.
Edit Reason: error and grammar
)
There is something sinister about this whole sorry investigation which leaves me with the feeling this aircraft will never be found nor is it meant to be found.
What is known is that the aircraft performed a scheduled satellite communication at 0011. At 0019 the aircraft completed a partial logon.
It can be deduced from the ATSB report that at around 3 minutes and 40 seconds prior to this login (possibly a little longer to allow for engine internal speed spool down sufficiently to initiate APU autostart). This places the aircraft at just past the midpoint between the much described 6th and 7th arcs when the final engine flameout and autopilot disconnect occurred.
From here the assumptions go pear shaped; all deductions are from what is known and occurred previously.
1. The Autopilot dropped out with no one at the helm and the aircraft spiralled into the SIO - the premise for the ATSB search location (and also for the IG; albeit a different final destination).
2. Previous crashes show this pattern to be true; so it must be so. I don't think this is your standard accident!
3. Pilot suicide theories place this as the stereo typical suicide where the pilot just pushes the nose over into a vertical decent into the SIO. Maybe a read of Jeff Wise article here is in order http://jeffwise.net/2015/03/30/washingto...d-suicide/
4. There is no such thing as a stereotypical pilot suicide let a lone any information known that places either of the pilots as the perpetrators. If there was such a thing as a stereotypical pilot suicide, how would it end after 7 hours.
5. The entire search area is based on the end of flight scenarios of either no pilot input or the suicide dive............50NM wide; had there been someone at the controls the search width could be up to 250NM wide.
6. The aircraft could not have been successfully ditched in the SIO due to the swells. What is successfully ditched in this instance? Is it to save life or mask an atrocity? I recall training briefings in my youth for tree top landings where the objective was to pull the nose as high as possible to slow and stall from the backside into the trees. With a 777 (not something you'd specifically train for) I would imagine you could keep a fair percentage of the airframe intact but not save many or any lives.
The doubling of the search area along the 7th arc will find nothing because if as Slats 11 has intimated..........this is a criminal act; the assumptions for the search area are not conducive to a criminal act.
Given the ATSBs previous form and expert investigation..............this whole search wreaks of tokenistic BS. We have given it our best shot BUT!!!
I hope I'm wrong.
What is known is that the aircraft performed a scheduled satellite communication at 0011. At 0019 the aircraft completed a partial logon.
It can be deduced from the ATSB report that at around 3 minutes and 40 seconds prior to this login (possibly a little longer to allow for engine internal speed spool down sufficiently to initiate APU autostart). This places the aircraft at just past the midpoint between the much described 6th and 7th arcs when the final engine flameout and autopilot disconnect occurred.
From here the assumptions go pear shaped; all deductions are from what is known and occurred previously.
1. The Autopilot dropped out with no one at the helm and the aircraft spiralled into the SIO - the premise for the ATSB search location (and also for the IG; albeit a different final destination).
2. Previous crashes show this pattern to be true; so it must be so. I don't think this is your standard accident!
3. Pilot suicide theories place this as the stereo typical suicide where the pilot just pushes the nose over into a vertical decent into the SIO. Maybe a read of Jeff Wise article here is in order http://jeffwise.net/2015/03/30/washingto...d-suicide/
4. There is no such thing as a stereotypical pilot suicide let a lone any information known that places either of the pilots as the perpetrators. If there was such a thing as a stereotypical pilot suicide, how would it end after 7 hours.
5. The entire search area is based on the end of flight scenarios of either no pilot input or the suicide dive............50NM wide; had there been someone at the controls the search width could be up to 250NM wide.
6. The aircraft could not have been successfully ditched in the SIO due to the swells. What is successfully ditched in this instance? Is it to save life or mask an atrocity? I recall training briefings in my youth for tree top landings where the objective was to pull the nose as high as possible to slow and stall from the backside into the trees. With a 777 (not something you'd specifically train for) I would imagine you could keep a fair percentage of the airframe intact but not save many or any lives.
The doubling of the search area along the 7th arc will find nothing because if as Slats 11 has intimated..........this is a criminal act; the assumptions for the search area are not conducive to a criminal act.
Given the ATSBs previous form and expert investigation..............this whole search wreaks of tokenistic BS. We have given it our best shot BUT!!!
I hope I'm wrong.