02-19-2016, 01:20 AM
Interesting. Thanks for this information and the links.
Of course the plane could easily be in the primary search area. It could have been missed for many reasons - high degree of fragmentation, unfavourable topography, buried in sediment.... So absence of proof is certainly not proof of absence.
But the failure to find it in the primary area surely should prompt us to review previous assumptions and re-evaluate any other potential data.
Thats a pretty significant increase in vertical speed in just 8 seconds.
delta = 10000 foot/min = 50m/s.
Over 8 seconds suggests acceleration down 6.3 m/s2 = 2/3 gravity. Does that fit with your sim data?
I'm not an ATSB critic for the sake of it. And this event is unprecedented.
But ATSB have distinguished themselves (and not in a good way) over recent years. However thats another story.
Of course the plane could easily be in the primary search area. It could have been missed for many reasons - high degree of fragmentation, unfavourable topography, buried in sediment.... So absence of proof is certainly not proof of absence.
But the failure to find it in the primary area surely should prompt us to review previous assumptions and re-evaluate any other potential data.
Thats a pretty significant increase in vertical speed in just 8 seconds.
delta = 10000 foot/min = 50m/s.
Over 8 seconds suggests acceleration down 6.3 m/s2 = 2/3 gravity. Does that fit with your sim data?
I'm not an ATSB critic for the sake of it. And this event is unprecedented.
But ATSB have distinguished themselves (and not in a good way) over recent years. However thats another story.