02-18-2016, 08:33 AM
Slats11
As I said way, way back, over a year ago, (11th february 2015 in post #72 (http://auntypru.com/forum/-MH370-time-to...90#pid2590) this was a mission, a meticulously planned mission, plannd well in advance, a year or more before the event.
As I explained in post #72, he had to have a plan to take account of the possibility of being "late", due to delayed departure, whatever.
As a "mission planner" (not just a "flight planner") EVERY CONTINGENCY has to be identified, considered, evaluated, and mitigated.
Every operational plan must be "flexible" (within defined limits obviously) to account for forseeble contingencies.
Mine is.
I took the role of "mission planner", and worked out "the master plan", ie, how to "ensure success" on "any day of the year" (weather permitting).
From a "mission viability" stand point, ie, to acheive the "mission goal", which was to vanish, he had to ditch below 30 South. That is why the terminators are plotted from 30 South.
What I have shown in post 139 (http://auntypru.com/forum/-MH370-time-to...69#pid3569) is the most western track possible for 8th March 2014, assuming he was "on time" at the IP (initial point) for the "run in" to the target, ie, for "the ditch".
The "descent track" TOD to BOD (the green segment) is the critical bit.
On the night, he was "on time". It was "perfect" mission accomplishment.
So slats, I will give you two "hints" to the answer(s) to your questions.
(1) - consider the green track, and the "descent circle" around TOD.
(2) - now consider what you would do if you had been "late", say up to one hour late.
That is, for simplicity, assume that the 22:41 position is in fact the 23:41 position.
Then work it out.
Do you see it now slats ?
(answer = on or near the 00:12 zulu terminator near 30S).
As I said way, way back, over a year ago, (11th february 2015 in post #72 (http://auntypru.com/forum/-MH370-time-to...90#pid2590) this was a mission, a meticulously planned mission, plannd well in advance, a year or more before the event.
As I explained in post #72, he had to have a plan to take account of the possibility of being "late", due to delayed departure, whatever.
As a "mission planner" (not just a "flight planner") EVERY CONTINGENCY has to be identified, considered, evaluated, and mitigated.
Every operational plan must be "flexible" (within defined limits obviously) to account for forseeble contingencies.
Mine is.
I took the role of "mission planner", and worked out "the master plan", ie, how to "ensure success" on "any day of the year" (weather permitting).
From a "mission viability" stand point, ie, to acheive the "mission goal", which was to vanish, he had to ditch below 30 South. That is why the terminators are plotted from 30 South.
What I have shown in post 139 (http://auntypru.com/forum/-MH370-time-to...69#pid3569) is the most western track possible for 8th March 2014, assuming he was "on time" at the IP (initial point) for the "run in" to the target, ie, for "the ditch".
The "descent track" TOD to BOD (the green segment) is the critical bit.
On the night, he was "on time". It was "perfect" mission accomplishment.
So slats, I will give you two "hints" to the answer(s) to your questions.
(1) - consider the green track, and the "descent circle" around TOD.
(2) - now consider what you would do if you had been "late", say up to one hour late.
That is, for simplicity, assume that the 22:41 position is in fact the 23:41 position.
Then work it out.
Do you see it now slats ?
(answer = on or near the 00:12 zulu terminator near 30S).