02-07-2016, 11:24 AM
Hello BugsyM. The Flaperon Failure Analysis is drawn from observation of public photos of MH370, Asiana 214, and other photos and videos of B777 Flaperons. Consultation was obtained from several IG members, a retired 767 pilot, and a professional Structural Engineer (retired). There were several 3D models made to better understand the structure of the Flaperon and how that structure would fail under multiple scenarios. I consider the modeling to remain inside the IG's unpublished body of work for now. Should the French, Malaysians, Boeing, and/or others remain silent on the actual analysis after the upcoming FI then likely the heat will be turned up another level and a Revision 3 can be produced. Technical corrections, new ideas, new photos (MH370/Asiana214/other) etc. with regards to the Rev 2 report are encouraged welcomed from the team here.
Whether this analysis holds up against a future official report is irrelevant as long as a real analysis is presented in all it's details AND it aligns with what the data public has in its possession. We need ALL of the questions at the end of the analysis answered. It so frustrating that the official analysis has not been produced, it is not a difficult task for Boeing (and other) experts that have access to the Reunion Flaperon.
The analysis was developed without an end conclusion or scenario in mind. Essentially let the facts lead to the conclusions or items unresolved. For a period of time I felt there may not be a conclusion from my efforts and may have to put it in the 'wasted my time basket' (a rather large basket for me on MH370). I must say that it took me a LOT more hours and effort to come to what Mr. Exner concluded many months before. My hat's off to Mike, I don't know how he did that! Quite impressive.
Cheers, Tom
Whether this analysis holds up against a future official report is irrelevant as long as a real analysis is presented in all it's details AND it aligns with what the data public has in its possession. We need ALL of the questions at the end of the analysis answered. It so frustrating that the official analysis has not been produced, it is not a difficult task for Boeing (and other) experts that have access to the Reunion Flaperon.
The analysis was developed without an end conclusion or scenario in mind. Essentially let the facts lead to the conclusions or items unresolved. For a period of time I felt there may not be a conclusion from my efforts and may have to put it in the 'wasted my time basket' (a rather large basket for me on MH370). I must say that it took me a LOT more hours and effort to come to what Mr. Exner concluded many months before. My hat's off to Mike, I don't know how he did that! Quite impressive.
Cheers, Tom