[Peetwo]

'Mick' the insider man?

P666 - I've no doubt that 'Mick' is either one of their Investigators or one of their 'report writing department' employees, someone who can no longer control their emotions and their internal 'underwater mud volcano' has finally erupted! After all I recall another f#ckwit from another government agency doing the same thing, the name 'Flyingfiend' might ring a bell'?

I think your right Gobbles? I'm glad someone else picked it up, the man/woman/troll/entity/drone is just a little to knowledgeable about - well everything...

However IMO 'Mick' probably sits closer to the side of the angels than Flyingfiend ever would or could. There is no doubt Mick is extremely defensive & tetchy about the ATSB but I don't  see him spruiking Dolan's 'Beyond all sensible Reason' philosophy; or being frugal in splashing out cash to retrieve a small jet's CVR/FDR from a lower profile investigation - do you?

No this guy definitely comes from an Ops background and like a true dyed in the wool TSI is more offended by the 'imbalance' & bias that the Bailey rants are bringing to the public's lazy, jaundiced eye...   

Oh well it would seem that we will get another chance to 'suss' out just who? the mysterious 'Mick' is because BB is at it again..

Courtesy the Oz:

MH370: report’s ‘stupid’ flaws hinder search

• Byron Bailey
  
• The Australian
  
• January 29, 2016 12:00AM
  

Deputy Prime Minister Warren Truss released the latest Australian Transport Safety Bureau ­report on the search for Malaysia Airlines MH370 in early December, and the next day a concerned airline captain of 30 years’ jet experi­ence forwarded me the ­report with the comment: “How could they be so stupid?”

I have since sent the report to four other experienced captains and all expressed a similar view. It took me only a couple of minutes to realise that this report was seriously flawed as it showed ignorance of basic principles of flight.

The ATSB says a “hypoxia/­unresponsive flight crew” scenario, in which the pilots were unconscious or dead because of loss of oxygen through decompression or some other event, is the “type” that best suits the evidence of the last leg of the flight south, rather than that of a pilot being in control to the end and performing a controlled ditching.

ATSB chief Martin Dolan says he does not have to worry about what happened on the flight ­before that point — during which it turned back to Malaysia on a flight from Kuala Lumpur to Beijing, with no radio contact and with its radar transponder switched off. That is to say, it is fine to ignore the overwhelming evidence that captain Zaharie Ahmad Shah hijacked his own aircraft on March 8, 2014.

The ATSB used Bayesian mathematical modelling to project the most likely flight path of the Boeing 777 after fuel exhaustion and flame out to define the search area. It is important to note that introducing the variable of an input from a conscious pilot renders the modelling invalid.

I tested the ATSB “flame-out theory” in a B777 full flight simulator in Dubai. The results led me to totally disagree with the flight path assumed by the ATSB’s modelling, which used only an engineering simulator.

First, the ATSB states “the right engine flamed out and in each test case the aircraft then turned left and remained in a banked turn”.

That’s strange because, as any experienced multi-­engine pilot knows, if the right engine stops, the aircraft will want to turn right because of simple moment of forces. Strange also because when I flamed out an engine in the FFS, the thrust asymmetry compensation via the autopilot kept the aircraft flying straight.

Now comes the flame out of the second engine in which, as the ATSB correctly states, “the autopilot disconnects” before the air-driven generator deploys. It then states they performed a basic ­trajectory analysis of an uncontrolled “but stable aircraft” for 230km.
What utter rubbish — because jet aircraft are not naturally stable and require ­either an autopilot or pilot hand flying to keep them in controlled flight.

If the autopilot is disengaged the aircraft would rapidly roll into a spiral dive because the autopilot would have turned the control surfaces to compensate for flying on only one engine. Less than two minutes later, the aircraft would have hit the sea at more than 1000km/h, resulting in masses of debris that would float for months.

So the ­reality is that even if ­pilots were unresponsive — that’s to say, dead — the ATSB’s search area projection is flawed.

If MH370 is not found in the ­next few months and the search is called off, one can hope China will commission the US National Transportation Safety Board and American oceanographer Robert Ballard, who has found a series of underwater wrecks including the Bismarck and Titanic, to start afresh using real experts.

       
I don't know about anyone else but the Bailey rant is getting a bit repetitive, let's just hope his Jiminy Cricket 'Mick' comes out to play, his commentary is much more informative & thought provoking...


MTF...P2