Who, not where...
Someone, somewhere knows. Search for the solution on the ground, not in the SOI.
Searchers are grasping at straws and, unless ET vanished MH 370 at IGARI it must, logically, be possible to work out exactly where it went after the pre way point hand off. Not, in primus, with esoteric, theoretical satellite mathematics, but by marshalling ALL the known facts, building an accurate picture, then applying the science to support or reject hypotheses. This would mean opening a lot of forbidden doors, international cooperation and trust. None here would deny there is a marked shortage of these very desirable commodities.
Lets start at just before the IGARI waypoint – the consensus seems to be that this was the last known unequivocal time that the subject aircraft was actually known to be 'it's self'. We need to know exactly, minute by minute the physical movements and observations of each individual who could have possibly "seen" the aircraft approaching IGARI, all controllers, observers and 'Anoraks'. Then gather all radar trace, all satellite, all aircraft output, the whole shooting match, on the table and start tracking, outwards from the hand off; AGAIN. Re build a complete, step by step picture of what exactly was in the sky during that time period.
Define what every blip or sighting was, where came from and was going to. Identify who could see what: civil radar, civil satellites, military radar, military satellites, TCAS (anyone log a TCAS alert that night?), question folks on the flight tracking type of home soft ware devices; build up a holistic picture of the skies during the time of these events. If all this has been done properly and thoroughly and the aircraft remains missing, then someone, somewhere has missed, hidden or disguised vital links. Re examine and test the statements or claims of everyone; oil rig workers, ships at sea, island folk, everyone who 'saw' or think they have seen anything. Those vital links must be there.
Sure, it's a lot of trouble and will involve some secret diplomatic wrangling and pride skin off to ask for help in the form of radar tapes from neighbouring countries and it will cost money. Even if the whole thing was done in absolute 'spook' secrecy at the highest levels to get just one screen shot from a satellite to resolve the equations. One vital screen shot as a gesture of good will toward mankind cannot be too much to ask, can it? Even a veiled hint smuggled out by gypsy carriage would do, anything tangible would suffice.
But we seem to have bet a whole swag of money on all manner of theory and conjecture without really knowing, not with absolute certainty, where the aircraft was, or was not from just shy of the IGARI waypoint. For my money, the secret lays hidden on the ground, camouflaged within those all important first 20 'lost' minutes and the next 40. That is one hour at cruise speed. If indeed the aircraft turned toward any form of radar coverage, it was visible in one form or another, just as it was for the next 60 minutes in just about any direction you care to name. The map of civil 'radar coverage' shows some plausible 'escape' paths, but not too many...
There are, IMO many basic questions not answered, there are too many human questions unanswered and there are far too many military questions begging answers for comfort.
But I would back my ET whimsy against the Vlad Putin bollocks any day; and, I flatly refuse to believe that there are no men of good will left alive; or, even any of dubious character who will not (even for a price if needs be) provide the vital links needed to resolve the MH 370 puzzle. This must not become another Mary Celeste.
Toot toot.
Someone, somewhere knows. Search for the solution on the ground, not in the SOI.
Searchers are grasping at straws and, unless ET vanished MH 370 at IGARI it must, logically, be possible to work out exactly where it went after the pre way point hand off. Not, in primus, with esoteric, theoretical satellite mathematics, but by marshalling ALL the known facts, building an accurate picture, then applying the science to support or reject hypotheses. This would mean opening a lot of forbidden doors, international cooperation and trust. None here would deny there is a marked shortage of these very desirable commodities.
Lets start at just before the IGARI waypoint – the consensus seems to be that this was the last known unequivocal time that the subject aircraft was actually known to be 'it's self'. We need to know exactly, minute by minute the physical movements and observations of each individual who could have possibly "seen" the aircraft approaching IGARI, all controllers, observers and 'Anoraks'. Then gather all radar trace, all satellite, all aircraft output, the whole shooting match, on the table and start tracking, outwards from the hand off; AGAIN. Re build a complete, step by step picture of what exactly was in the sky during that time period.
Define what every blip or sighting was, where came from and was going to. Identify who could see what: civil radar, civil satellites, military radar, military satellites, TCAS (anyone log a TCAS alert that night?), question folks on the flight tracking type of home soft ware devices; build up a holistic picture of the skies during the time of these events. If all this has been done properly and thoroughly and the aircraft remains missing, then someone, somewhere has missed, hidden or disguised vital links. Re examine and test the statements or claims of everyone; oil rig workers, ships at sea, island folk, everyone who 'saw' or think they have seen anything. Those vital links must be there.
Sure, it's a lot of trouble and will involve some secret diplomatic wrangling and pride skin off to ask for help in the form of radar tapes from neighbouring countries and it will cost money. Even if the whole thing was done in absolute 'spook' secrecy at the highest levels to get just one screen shot from a satellite to resolve the equations. One vital screen shot as a gesture of good will toward mankind cannot be too much to ask, can it? Even a veiled hint smuggled out by gypsy carriage would do, anything tangible would suffice.
But we seem to have bet a whole swag of money on all manner of theory and conjecture without really knowing, not with absolute certainty, where the aircraft was, or was not from just shy of the IGARI waypoint. For my money, the secret lays hidden on the ground, camouflaged within those all important first 20 'lost' minutes and the next 40. That is one hour at cruise speed. If indeed the aircraft turned toward any form of radar coverage, it was visible in one form or another, just as it was for the next 60 minutes in just about any direction you care to name. The map of civil 'radar coverage' shows some plausible 'escape' paths, but not too many...
There are, IMO many basic questions not answered, there are too many human questions unanswered and there are far too many military questions begging answers for comfort.
But I would back my ET whimsy against the Vlad Putin bollocks any day; and, I flatly refuse to believe that there are no men of good will left alive; or, even any of dubious character who will not (even for a price if needs be) provide the vital links needed to resolve the MH 370 puzzle. This must not become another Mary Celeste.
Toot toot.