On the edge of Occam’s razor.
The thing that intrigues the most, is what is left behind after all the theory, rhetoric and hysteria has been expounded. A short stroll down memory lane and a little work on Google gets the bump of curiosity working – in a ruminating, ambling almost subconscious fashion until a question rises which cannot be answered.
In almost every major aviation event – in time, there is an answer provided and without fail those responsible are named. This is particularly true where ‘mechanical’ or ‘operational’ failures have been identified; and, even truer where ‘criminal’ activity is involved.
Suspect 1 – mechanical/ systems failure can almost be eliminated. Communication systems on modern aircraft can and often are used to contact ‘engineering’ should an in-flight problem arise. It is completely normal and routine for the pilot to advise Air Traffic of the nature of the problem and the plan to deal with the matter.
Suspect 2 – criminal activity. Where there has been any form of criminal activity involved, heaven and earth are moved to determine the who, the why and the what for. There is never any official reluctance to name, shame and explain. Take MH 17 an example, the extraordinary lengths gone to in order to identify the weapon and the man who ordered the trigger pulled and the man who pulled it. No expense or effort too much. Consider the German Wings event – no hesitation in the investigation delivering a verdict of a ‘murder-suicide’.
So, why is 370 shrouded in mystery? If and it’s a BIG IF, the Captain did hi-jack his aircraft why not define, beyond a reasonable doubt, why. If (another big one) for example he had threatened a 20/11 scenario and the government had shot it down – to save many lives; then why not say so. Not a pleasant thought, nor an easy decision, but, if all else failed – so be it.
If the aircraft was hi-jacked – by whom is irrelevant; then what demands were made. One does not go to the trouble and risk of an airborne hi-jack for no return on the investment. Demands would have been made; communication of some sort is required, there would be a record of such.
So what we don’t have becomes far more interesting than the twaddle we have. Hi-Jack gone wrong – no reason for secrecy; not in history there ain’t. Pilot suicide - no reason for secrecy; not in history there ain’t. In-flight emergency - no reason for secrecy; not in history there ain’t.
Anything related to aviation (accident or incident) is almost instantly ‘front page’- top of the news – even when it’s a relatively straight forward event – like an engine failure or a cabin pressure issue; much is written and spoken for while then the world moves on.
If the pilot is to be blamed; then let us have hard evidence, data, recordings and ‘the reason why’.
If it was ‘criminal’ then - let us have hard evidence, data, recordings and ‘the reason why’.
If it was ‘mechanical’ let us have hard evidence, data, recordings and ‘the reason why’.
If it is that no one has the slightest, blind clue about the event – then just tell us. Sorry folks – we just don’t know.
Something happened; that’s for damn sure. But, as Holmes said - "When you have eliminated the impossible, whatever remains, however improbable, must be the truth."
I could handle the truth – but the Pony-Pooh fails to baffle – just leaves me stone cold and disinterested.
Toot – toot.
The thing that intrigues the most, is what is left behind after all the theory, rhetoric and hysteria has been expounded. A short stroll down memory lane and a little work on Google gets the bump of curiosity working – in a ruminating, ambling almost subconscious fashion until a question rises which cannot be answered.
In almost every major aviation event – in time, there is an answer provided and without fail those responsible are named. This is particularly true where ‘mechanical’ or ‘operational’ failures have been identified; and, even truer where ‘criminal’ activity is involved.
Suspect 1 – mechanical/ systems failure can almost be eliminated. Communication systems on modern aircraft can and often are used to contact ‘engineering’ should an in-flight problem arise. It is completely normal and routine for the pilot to advise Air Traffic of the nature of the problem and the plan to deal with the matter.
Suspect 2 – criminal activity. Where there has been any form of criminal activity involved, heaven and earth are moved to determine the who, the why and the what for. There is never any official reluctance to name, shame and explain. Take MH 17 an example, the extraordinary lengths gone to in order to identify the weapon and the man who ordered the trigger pulled and the man who pulled it. No expense or effort too much. Consider the German Wings event – no hesitation in the investigation delivering a verdict of a ‘murder-suicide’.
So, why is 370 shrouded in mystery? If and it’s a BIG IF, the Captain did hi-jack his aircraft why not define, beyond a reasonable doubt, why. If (another big one) for example he had threatened a 20/11 scenario and the government had shot it down – to save many lives; then why not say so. Not a pleasant thought, nor an easy decision, but, if all else failed – so be it.
If the aircraft was hi-jacked – by whom is irrelevant; then what demands were made. One does not go to the trouble and risk of an airborne hi-jack for no return on the investment. Demands would have been made; communication of some sort is required, there would be a record of such.
So what we don’t have becomes far more interesting than the twaddle we have. Hi-Jack gone wrong – no reason for secrecy; not in history there ain’t. Pilot suicide - no reason for secrecy; not in history there ain’t. In-flight emergency - no reason for secrecy; not in history there ain’t.
Anything related to aviation (accident or incident) is almost instantly ‘front page’- top of the news – even when it’s a relatively straight forward event – like an engine failure or a cabin pressure issue; much is written and spoken for while then the world moves on.
If the pilot is to be blamed; then let us have hard evidence, data, recordings and ‘the reason why’.
If it was ‘criminal’ then - let us have hard evidence, data, recordings and ‘the reason why’.
If it was ‘mechanical’ let us have hard evidence, data, recordings and ‘the reason why’.
If it is that no one has the slightest, blind clue about the event – then just tell us. Sorry folks – we just don’t know.
Something happened; that’s for damn sure. But, as Holmes said - "When you have eliminated the impossible, whatever remains, however improbable, must be the truth."
I could handle the truth – but the Pony-Pooh fails to baffle – just leaves me stone cold and disinterested.
Toot – toot.