They went to sea in a Sieve they did. Etc.
S.S. Ley - "they went to sea in a Sieve".
The Bookmakers Lament.
Aye, it's a head scratch-er alright; what is going to happen to the aviation industry under a second go around with 'Not Wurth-King' 'in charge? The 'servants' of the public purse must believe it an almost holiday for two or three more years.
For the Bookie, this presents problems, headaches and uncertainty., the BRB will want to back their particular outcome, there are several 'usual choices' and some new entries to the field. As a Bookie, the first important element is, at which course will be the race be run. The second is the hurdles presented and thirdly, the condition of the 'track'. This before the entries are considered.
But, considered those entries must be, how else can the odds be set and the Bookie keep his shirt?
The race, believe it or not is an important one; much depends on the outcome; a great much. The future well being of an industry, one in which much personal capital has been invested. From the humble 'wannabe' to the proud international carriers. There is a large (seriously large) chunk of public money invested in the 'well-being' of this industry; the modest 'tax-payer' has a serious stake in this great game, as does the smallest, the insignificant and the private investor. All have 'skin' in the game.
The 'opposition' have little to loose; they are betting with 'tax payer' money and the odds are definitely in their favour; almost an event of little to no consequence; they bet each way and cannot loose a penny of their own money or even a 'pound of flesh' (metaphorically). Industry can; every time it has its 'weights put up' by the judges.
We need to 'set' the field for the three year marathon; examine the hurdles, the water jumps and the up-hill sections; not to mention the 'going' and the 'political weather' before setting odds. We may, of course, examine some of the starters and their connections. When the dust settles and the starters begin to appear; i will set the field, the runners and provide opening odds, and track side information.
BRB tonight - serious stuff; no darts - wish me luck arbitrating the very angry mob. Perhaps Ale will soothe the outrage; odds on - Not Really.
"Rien ne va plus" - No more bets taken;
Toot - toot.
Aye, it's a head scratch-er alright; what is going to happen to the aviation industry under a second go around with 'Not Wurth-King' 'in charge? The 'servants' of the public purse must believe it an almost holiday for two or three more years.
For the Bookie, this presents problems, headaches and uncertainty., the BRB will want to back their particular outcome, there are several 'usual choices' and some new entries to the field. As a Bookie, the first important element is, at which course will be the race be run. The second is the hurdles presented and thirdly, the condition of the 'track'. This before the entries are considered.
But, considered those entries must be, how else can the odds be set and the Bookie keep his shirt?
The race, believe it or not is an important one; much depends on the outcome; a great much. The future well being of an industry, one in which much personal capital has been invested. From the humble 'wannabe' to the proud international carriers. There is a large (seriously large) chunk of public money invested in the 'well-being' of this industry; the modest 'tax-payer' has a serious stake in this great game, as does the smallest, the insignificant and the private investor. All have 'skin' in the game.
The 'opposition' have little to loose; they are betting with 'tax payer' money and the odds are definitely in their favour; almost an event of little to no consequence; they bet each way and cannot loose a penny of their own money or even a 'pound of flesh' (metaphorically). Industry can; every time it has its 'weights put up' by the judges.
We need to 'set' the field for the three year marathon; examine the hurdles, the water jumps and the up-hill sections; not to mention the 'going' and the 'political weather' before setting odds. We may, of course, examine some of the starters and their connections. When the dust settles and the starters begin to appear; i will set the field, the runners and provide opening odds, and track side information.
BRB tonight - serious stuff; no darts - wish me luck arbitrating the very angry mob. Perhaps Ale will soothe the outrage; odds on - Not Really.
"Rien ne va plus" - No more bets taken;
Toot - toot.
'The little Book of Bollocks'. Chapter 13.
A terrific little book to tuck into a spare niche in the bookcase; get an Ale, chair by the fireside and open it up to random pages; always, there is a wry smile a chuckle or cobble two or three pages together and JLT - (Just Like That) a story lays within. For example:-
Aviation Occurrence Statistics (rates update) 2010 to 2019.
ATSB Transport Safety Report
Aviation Data and Statistics Report
AR-2020-047 Final – 4 November 2020
Angel Flight fatalities: Aug 2017 – 2025 (eight years) 0 (zero)– <42,000 completed flights up to that date.
CASA approved GA operations – <2019 there were 35 fatalities from aircraft accidents. Averaged @ 32.3 fatalities per year for the previous nine years. Running average of fatal accidents 29.1 All bar RPT. See BITRE or ATSB (& good luck with that)...
14/09/2017 - SS Ley -(McDonald inquiry) -”In the last six years, there have been two fatal flights, the most recent being on 28 June near Mount Gambier, in which the pilot and two passengers were killed. In August 2011 another flight crashed near Nhill in western Victoria, again with no survivors.”
SS Ley -“Their (CASA) preferred option—an approved self-administering aviation organisation—would allow this sector to regulate itself.” {What a bloody good idea}.
“There are three kinds of lies: Lies, Damned Lies, and Statistics”
It is a toss up between Twain and Disraeli that first used the line: not that it matters; the 'stats' tell an interesting tale, Angel flight 2 – CASA certified ops running average 29.1
Nearly there: with the Nats thin on the ground and the Libs decimated, IMO there is real cause for concern for the 'industry', particularly the non airline sector. Probably about item 12 on the to-do list and there ain't many 'doers' for the GA industry even when the opposition in flush and spoiled for choices. Not only that but there are some really serious 'issues' (hate that word) for the opposition to tackle, lots of I reckon.
“If you don’t have time to do it right, when will you have time to do it over?”
There is a great much that needs doing; it could be done, given the 'right' crew and leadership. The question that haunts is will the SS Ley launch the life boat with McKenzie in command or will the SS Ley simply keep heading toward the large iceberg guarding the abyss? Hell's Bells I don't know, but if something ain't done there's every chance a once thriving, productive industry could simply melt away under the land developers plough; or be driven out of existence by CASA excess, costs and endless redrafting of existing rules, while ignoring the world gold standard.
Either way, the 'flip-flop' passive aggressive Ley holds the GA industry nuts (and bolts) in her hands. It worries me, it truly does.
“Better three hours too soon than a minute too late.”
Toot – toot.
A terrific little book to tuck into a spare niche in the bookcase; get an Ale, chair by the fireside and open it up to random pages; always, there is a wry smile a chuckle or cobble two or three pages together and JLT - (Just Like That) a story lays within. For example:-
Aviation Occurrence Statistics (rates update) 2010 to 2019.
ATSB Transport Safety Report
Aviation Data and Statistics Report
AR-2020-047 Final – 4 November 2020
Angel Flight fatalities: Aug 2017 – 2025 (eight years) 0 (zero)– <42,000 completed flights up to that date.
CASA approved GA operations – <2019 there were 35 fatalities from aircraft accidents. Averaged @ 32.3 fatalities per year for the previous nine years. Running average of fatal accidents 29.1 All bar RPT. See BITRE or ATSB (& good luck with that)...
14/09/2017 - SS Ley -(McDonald inquiry) -”In the last six years, there have been two fatal flights, the most recent being on 28 June near Mount Gambier, in which the pilot and two passengers were killed. In August 2011 another flight crashed near Nhill in western Victoria, again with no survivors.”
SS Ley -“Their (CASA) preferred option—an approved self-administering aviation organisation—would allow this sector to regulate itself.” {What a bloody good idea}.
“There are three kinds of lies: Lies, Damned Lies, and Statistics”
It is a toss up between Twain and Disraeli that first used the line: not that it matters; the 'stats' tell an interesting tale, Angel flight 2 – CASA certified ops running average 29.1
Nearly there: with the Nats thin on the ground and the Libs decimated, IMO there is real cause for concern for the 'industry', particularly the non airline sector. Probably about item 12 on the to-do list and there ain't many 'doers' for the GA industry even when the opposition in flush and spoiled for choices. Not only that but there are some really serious 'issues' (hate that word) for the opposition to tackle, lots of I reckon.
“If you don’t have time to do it right, when will you have time to do it over?”
There is a great much that needs doing; it could be done, given the 'right' crew and leadership. The question that haunts is will the SS Ley launch the life boat with McKenzie in command or will the SS Ley simply keep heading toward the large iceberg guarding the abyss? Hell's Bells I don't know, but if something ain't done there's every chance a once thriving, productive industry could simply melt away under the land developers plough; or be driven out of existence by CASA excess, costs and endless redrafting of existing rules, while ignoring the world gold standard.
Either way, the 'flip-flop' passive aggressive Ley holds the GA industry nuts (and bolts) in her hands. It worries me, it truly does.
“Better three hours too soon than a minute too late.”
Toot – toot.
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