[Kharon]

A dab of Denmark please.

When you consider the excellent post from Brock – HERE – its easy to understand why those with a ‘scientific’ bent are frustrated.  In science a theory must withstand testing, the evidence impeccable and proof irrefutable; fairy stories are rapidly debunked by peer groups.  What I believe I keep seeing from the ‘analytics’ are the results of peer groups testing of the ‘official’ theory, which indicate flaws in that analysis.  I admit, the science is beyond my limited capability; however, even wooden headed pilots have the ability to eliminate ‘theories’ that don’t reflect the situation i.e. problem solving.  And this is what troubles me the most about the 370 search, the almost total lack of ‘elimination’ by fact and logic of different theory.

When a crime is committed, the police have, in theory, the whole worlds population to consider as suspects. This notion is quickly and easily eliminated and the process of collecting evidence and gathering provable fact to support, or eliminate a theory of ‘who-dunnit’ is activated.  Same-same air crash investigation, fact and evidence collected first to be considered, before eliminating theory after theory until the true cause is established.  This has not happened to 370.

There must be dozens of ‘theories’ floating about; some half baked, like my own ET theory; through to the excellent work being done by serious, qualified folk.  Some of the ‘top end’ theories have legs and are worthy of serious consideration.  There has been ample time and enough money made available to examine and test some of the credible ‘theory’.  Gods know the search is dynamic and each time a new ‘clue’ is found, the evidence and circumstances should have ‘influenced’ the official ‘theory’, as it would in the real world.  This has not occurred; the dogged, hidebound official search has continued as scripted.

IMO It is time to ask who the real criminals are.  

I say it is criminally negligent to ignore revised scientifically testable data.  Data which must be tested to either eliminate a possibility; or, adopted to better define the search area.  It is irresponsible to simply discard credible, supportable theory.  Obviously, the search area cannot be changed, willy-nilly, but, as the search progresses the percentage chances of finding the aircraft within the area diminish so the re thinking must increase.  Revised theories must be examined and eliminated, or used to re evaluate the parameters.

IMO It is time to ask who the real criminals are.  

I am not naturally given to ‘conspiracy’ but rather belong firmly in the ‘cock-up’ school of thought; however, two important facts combined with the refusal to consider any revised data or theory rings the little alarum bells in my ‘something ain’t right’ bump.

i) The unceremonious dumping of the AMSA, an acknowledged, highly competent, qualified ocean search expert body.

ii) The introduction of ATSB and Dolan as the search masters.  An organisation with neither the qualification or expertise to manage an ocean search on any scale; led by a discredited, obliging public servant with less qualification and even less idea of how to proceed.

It makes sense, good sense to pull the ships out of the search area until the weather improves, they’re just getting hammered for no result.  I would like to believe that the hiatus will be used to re-evaluate the whole thing; re-equip, refresh and return to complete the search with fresh information.  Alas, I find I cannot manage anything more than a simple ‘believe it when I see it’.

Enough waffle from me on the subject.  If not ET, then this is a criminal matter, bring in the professionals, to find those who know what really happened and find the aircraft. Someone, somewhere knows.  

Toot (cynical) toot.