The ledger – debit and credit.
Book keeping is one of the ‘black arts’; an arcane art and a mystery to the uninitiated. I’ve no idea how the figures on a bank statement are produced – but even I can read ‘em and remember Mr Micawber's famous, and oft-quoted, recipe for happiness:
"Annual income twenty pounds, annual expenditure nineteen [pounds] nineteen [shillings] and six [pence], result happiness. Annual income twenty pounds, annual expenditure twenty pounds ought and six, result misery."
Seems to that the ATSB annual income is less than their outgoings and credit is going to be hard to get. Make no mistake, it is credit they’re asking for. To me they are high risk bet and I’d want lots of security, a high interest rate and my own bookkeeper ‘on the job’. Even the ‘new’ business plan is riddled with holes, makes many promises and yet fails to convince. For example:-
Summary
As part of the occurrence investigation into the in-flight pitch disconnect and maintenance irregularity involving an ATR72, VH-FVR (AO-2014-032) investigators explored the operator's safety management system (SMS), and also explored the role of the regulator in oversighting the operator's systems. The ATSB collected a significant amount of evidence and conducted an in-depth analysis of these organisational influences. It was determined that the topic appeared to overshadow key safety messages regarding the occurrence itself and therefore a separate Safety Issues investigation was commenced to outline the implementation of an organisation's SMS during a time of rapid expansion, along with ongoing interactions with the regulator.
One could forgive a new credit manager for believing the above statement; for many would. To the jaundiced, experienced eye of a veteran, the big red flags would be waving and the little bells would be ringing. Why – because it’s Bollocks, that’s why.
With the ATR case we have a very serious event, it could, so very easily, have ended in tragedy. Consider this – all over the world, some in tough conditions the ATR variants deliver passengers to destinations without the elevator channels disconnecting; hour after hour, day in day out, 24/7 rain, hail or shine. The ‘engineering’ aspect which ATSB have been ‘investigating’ for a number of years now, whilst important is not, statistically at least, the main suspect. A thorough inspection of the elevator system for the usual suspects, should have put an end to that element of the investigation; and, if it weren’t broke then another cause must be sought. The investigation into ‘how’ the initial disconnect was a disgrace. But only now, under a new investigation number is ATSB going to have a look behind the scenes.
Statements like – “[investigation] was commenced to outline the implementation of an organisation's SMS during a time of rapid expansion, etc.” are purest pony-pooh. There is no such ducking thing when CASA is involved. When a company elects to use an aircraft, like the ATR, there is a long, complex process to be gone through. Even if the company go with the ‘off-the-shelf’ training and operating procedures it takes time to process. Lots of time and lots of money. Which only leaves the SMS system for ATSB to fool about with. Now what the hell the SMS has to do with two pilots buggering up a descent and disconnecting the elevator channels is beyond my comprehension. Perhaps it’s time to look elsewhere for the answers. Watch closely as ATSB take another three years to exonerate CASA and blame the SMS. CASA approve the training systems, the operating systems and the SMS. However:-
[and] also explored the role of the regulator in oversighting the operator's systems.
Did they now? Sorry ATSB, no credit at this bank. Maybe your Granny can assist….
Toot – toot.
Book keeping is one of the ‘black arts’; an arcane art and a mystery to the uninitiated. I’ve no idea how the figures on a bank statement are produced – but even I can read ‘em and remember Mr Micawber's famous, and oft-quoted, recipe for happiness:
"Annual income twenty pounds, annual expenditure nineteen [pounds] nineteen [shillings] and six [pence], result happiness. Annual income twenty pounds, annual expenditure twenty pounds ought and six, result misery."
Seems to that the ATSB annual income is less than their outgoings and credit is going to be hard to get. Make no mistake, it is credit they’re asking for. To me they are high risk bet and I’d want lots of security, a high interest rate and my own bookkeeper ‘on the job’. Even the ‘new’ business plan is riddled with holes, makes many promises and yet fails to convince. For example:-
Summary
As part of the occurrence investigation into the in-flight pitch disconnect and maintenance irregularity involving an ATR72, VH-FVR (AO-2014-032) investigators explored the operator's safety management system (SMS), and also explored the role of the regulator in oversighting the operator's systems. The ATSB collected a significant amount of evidence and conducted an in-depth analysis of these organisational influences. It was determined that the topic appeared to overshadow key safety messages regarding the occurrence itself and therefore a separate Safety Issues investigation was commenced to outline the implementation of an organisation's SMS during a time of rapid expansion, along with ongoing interactions with the regulator.
One could forgive a new credit manager for believing the above statement; for many would. To the jaundiced, experienced eye of a veteran, the big red flags would be waving and the little bells would be ringing. Why – because it’s Bollocks, that’s why.
With the ATR case we have a very serious event, it could, so very easily, have ended in tragedy. Consider this – all over the world, some in tough conditions the ATR variants deliver passengers to destinations without the elevator channels disconnecting; hour after hour, day in day out, 24/7 rain, hail or shine. The ‘engineering’ aspect which ATSB have been ‘investigating’ for a number of years now, whilst important is not, statistically at least, the main suspect. A thorough inspection of the elevator system for the usual suspects, should have put an end to that element of the investigation; and, if it weren’t broke then another cause must be sought. The investigation into ‘how’ the initial disconnect was a disgrace. But only now, under a new investigation number is ATSB going to have a look behind the scenes.
Statements like – “[investigation] was commenced to outline the implementation of an organisation's SMS during a time of rapid expansion, etc.” are purest pony-pooh. There is no such ducking thing when CASA is involved. When a company elects to use an aircraft, like the ATR, there is a long, complex process to be gone through. Even if the company go with the ‘off-the-shelf’ training and operating procedures it takes time to process. Lots of time and lots of money. Which only leaves the SMS system for ATSB to fool about with. Now what the hell the SMS has to do with two pilots buggering up a descent and disconnecting the elevator channels is beyond my comprehension. Perhaps it’s time to look elsewhere for the answers. Watch closely as ATSB take another three years to exonerate CASA and blame the SMS. CASA approve the training systems, the operating systems and the SMS. However:-
[and] also explored the role of the regulator in oversighting the operator's systems.
Did they now? Sorry ATSB, no credit at this bank. Maybe your Granny can assist….
Toot – toot.